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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92+3.23vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.56+0.98vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.63+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania-0.44+2.76vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.24+1.09vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.43vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.39-0.51vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-1.30vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.59-0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania-0.50-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9215.9%1st Place
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2.98Cornell University1.5626.9%1st Place
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4.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.6311.6%1st Place
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4.67University of Pennsylvania1.1612.0%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania-0.443.8%1st Place
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7.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges-0.245.0%1st Place
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5.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.298.2%1st Place
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7.49SUNY Maritime College-0.394.5%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.103.9%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Maritime College-0.523.5%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.591.1%1st Place
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7.76University of Pennsylvania-0.503.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deana Fedulova | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Sophia Mulvania | 26.9% | 22.9% | 17.6% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Sabrina Starck | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Adra Ivancich | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Sadie Yoder | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 9.6% |
Keelyn Brink | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
Annika VanderHorst | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
Nikita Troast | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
Katherine Mason | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.1% |
Gentry Schneider | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 49.1% |
Esme Gonzalez | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.