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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.92+6.15vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.68+6.16vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.61+1.98vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.50+5.04vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.77vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.80+5.81vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.54+1.83vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.51-2.78vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.79-0.96vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.83-2.37vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-3.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.67-4.56vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-5.20vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.35-1.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.93-4.80vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.60-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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8.16Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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4.98College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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8.83Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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5.22Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.63Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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14.99Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Hawkins | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Allison Blecher | 15.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 10.0% |
| Katrina Williams | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Megan Magill | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Christina Baker | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 22.2% | 20.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 6.5% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 16.0% | 52.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.