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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+4.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+1.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+2.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.83+4.82vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.64+0.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.84+2.87vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.90+1.50vs Predicted
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8Bates College0.78+3.97vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.41-2.01vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69+2.42vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.10+2.98vs Predicted
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12McGill University-0.38+2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.97-1.32vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.41-7.06vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.26-7.71vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.18-8.33vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.52-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.49Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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5.05Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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5.93Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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8.87Boston University1.840.0%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.97Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
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6.99Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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13.98University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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14.97McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University2.180.0%1st Place
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13.02Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 23.4% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 11.3% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Winder | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Clark | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Sam Millham | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Pedersen | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Enrique | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 6.6% |
| Whit Durant | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 23.0% | 24.3% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 43.3% |
| Douglas Young | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Fiske | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Slate | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Campbell Duffy | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Murphy | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.7% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.