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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+7.28vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.19+5.83vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+8.91vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+7.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+5.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+5.18vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.12-0.05vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+3.24vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.65+0.42vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-0.39vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25+0.53vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04+0.61vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-2.91vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.82-5.48vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.63-5.62vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.96vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.73-7.91vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University3.95-10.16vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.23-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.83Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.15University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.32Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.18Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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6.53Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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10.42College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.53Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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11.09Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.52Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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13.04SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.09Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.47Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Scott Houck | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Graham Landy | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 15.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.