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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+6.06vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+8.90vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+6.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+6.02vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+4.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95+2.17vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-0.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.92vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.49+1.08vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+1.31vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25+0.50vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.82-3.18vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-4.10vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-1.58vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-5.63vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-6.19vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.64-7.49vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-5.85vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.06Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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11.9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.02Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.43College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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9.17Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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11.08Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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12.31Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.82Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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13.42Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.81University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.51Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.24SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| William Macdonald | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Avery Fanning | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 16.0% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% |
| Lucas Adams | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.3% |
| Nick Valente | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.