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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+5.24vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+8.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+7.10vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+7.07vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+6.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+4.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.63+3.65vs Predicted
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8Stanford University4.19-0.37vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.65+1.12vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.12-1.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-2.04vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-0.37vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-1.81vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.96-1.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.76vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.82-7.73vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.49-6.80vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-7.27vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.04-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.07University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.01Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.41Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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7.63Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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8.12Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.96Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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13.31SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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12.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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12.19Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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13.41Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.27Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.2Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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11.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Kieran Chung | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 10.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Scott Houck | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.