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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.49+10.02vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+11.51vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+7.47vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+7.75vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+6.01vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+4.40vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-0.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.73+1.67vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-1.06vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.15vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-1.42vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.95-3.76vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-3.79vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.19-7.14vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.49-4.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.89vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin3.04-4.77vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-8.61vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.25-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.02Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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13.51Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.47Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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11.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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11.01Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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6.55Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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7.94Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.15SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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9.24Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.21College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.01University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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10.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
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12.36Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Drumm | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% |
| Scott Houck | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Graham Landy | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Raul Rios | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 12.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% |
| William Macdonald | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.7% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.