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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+6.72vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+8.38vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.64+7.45vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+8.19vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+5.85vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.55+0.32vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+3.22vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82+1.15vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin3.04+3.18vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.95-2.06vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-0.71vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-4.60vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.96-0.57vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-3.92vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-4.27vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-4.98vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.49-6.90vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston3.65-8.80vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.45Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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12.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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6.32Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University3.730.0%1st Place
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9.15Old Dominion University3.820.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.18University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.29University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.4Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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13.43Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.08Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
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11.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
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12.02Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.1Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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13.22SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% |
| Graham Landy | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Trepton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% |
| William Macdonald | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Raul Rios | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 15.0% |
| Scott Houck | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.