← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+5.20vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.73+7.87vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.12+5.22vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.65+6.25vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.49+6.01vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+6.33vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.49+4.40vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+0.05vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.64+1.19vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University4.19-2.26vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+0.81vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.95-2.88vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.22vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida3.49-3.04vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College2.96-1.61vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.51-5.09vs Predicted
-
17Old Dominion University3.82-7.77vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University3.25-5.74vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin3.04-5.90vs Predicted
-
20SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.2Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
9.87Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.22Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
10.25College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
-
11.01Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
12.33Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
-
11.4Dartmouth College3.490.0%1st Place
-
8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.19Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
-
7.74Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
11.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
-
9.12Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.0%1st Place
-
10.96University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
13.39Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
-
10.91University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
9.23Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
12.26Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
13.1University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
13.19SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Raul Rios | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% |
| Scott Houck | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% |
| William Macdonald | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Stocke | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 15.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Connor Trepton | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% |
| Nick Valente | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.