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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+9.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+6.12vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+7.43vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.03vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.77+7.47vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.20+4.66vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11+3.51vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.62+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.15+1.59vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-0.59vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.43-1.54vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-4.72vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.11+1.88vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.93-2.46vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-4.80vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-10.00vs Predicted
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18Yale University4.08-10.73vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.91vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College3.38-9.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.12Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.43University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.03SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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13.47Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.51Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.2College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.59University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.46Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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15.88University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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12.54Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.27Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.57Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Soren Walljasper | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 35.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.