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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+10.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.41+8.28vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+7.37vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.96vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.77+8.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.50vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.40vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20+3.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.88-0.99vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.81vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-3.72vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.62-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-2.30vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.93-1.47vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-6.99vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.11-0.21vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.15-5.60vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.38-7.48vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.21-7.81vs Predicted
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20Yale University4.08-12.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.67Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.37Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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13.24Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.4SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.07Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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8.01Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.61College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.53Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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15.79University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.52Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.19Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.29Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| David Larson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% |
| William Bailey | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 37.2% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.