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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+9.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+6.15vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.41+7.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.24vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+6.21vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+2.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.33vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+2.22vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.87vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.93+2.68vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-3.71vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-2.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.20-1.33vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.93vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.62-5.60vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-4.31vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.24-6.02vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.43-7.64vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-3.21vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.77-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.22Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.15Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.21Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.22Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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7.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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12.68Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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7.29Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.67Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.69Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.98University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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10.36Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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15.79University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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13.47Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| David Larson | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 12.7% | 35.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.