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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+9.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+6.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.42vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+5.43vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.24+5.28vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+3.55vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.11+3.58vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.93+3.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41+0.34vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.77+2.37vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.20-0.46vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-1.39vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-6.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.75vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.25-4.96vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.92-9.25vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-8.51vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.41-8.81vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.11-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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8.14Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.43Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.28University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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11.58Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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12.54Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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13.37Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.04SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.0%1st Place
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10.19Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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16.07University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 36.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.