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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.41+9.28vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.25vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+8.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.41+5.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.28vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.45vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.62+1.14vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.18vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.79vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.88-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.24-0.55vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.11+3.16vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-2.80vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.43-4.70vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.60vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.38-6.72vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.20-6.57vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.77-5.74vs Predicted
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20Stanford University2.93-7.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.28University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.25Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.45SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.14College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.45University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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16.16University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.28Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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13.26Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.75Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Jermain | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 13.7% | 38.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.