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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.11+10.73vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+4.46vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.62+5.34vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.24+6.08vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.41+4.46vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.92+1.23vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.78vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-1.84vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.41-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.11+4.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-2.36vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-4.66vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.77vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.77-2.71vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.21-5.93vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.20-6.59vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.93-6.46vs Predicted
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20Dartmouth College3.38-9.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.73Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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11.08University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.97SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.16Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.41Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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16.03University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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10.64Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.29Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.41Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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12.54Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.59Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% |
| William Bailey | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 37.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.