← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.92+6.98vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University3.20+9.25vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.41+7.37vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.62+5.32vs Predicted
-
5Yale University4.08+2.19vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.77+7.47vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University3.11+5.08vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.93+4.38vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College3.21+2.17vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.88-1.87vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.14vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida3.24-0.62vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.43-2.37vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.89vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-7.71vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.56vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin2.11-1.13vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.41-7.69vs Predicted
-
19Dartmouth College3.38-8.63vs Predicted
-
20Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.98Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
11.25Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
-
10.37Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.32College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.19Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
13.47Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.08Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
12.38Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
-
11.17Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.13Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
11.14SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
-
11.38University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
-
10.63Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
-
9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.0%1st Place
-
7.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
15.87University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
-
10.31University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
-
10.37Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 35.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| David Larson | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.