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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.41+9.29vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+5.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+6.29vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.88+3.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+1.32vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.43+3.57vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.62+1.12vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.18vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.11+1.79vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21+0.36vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.24-0.61vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-0.01vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-3.62vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.03vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.02vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.11-1.19vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.77-4.62vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-9.60vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.20-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.57Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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9.12College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.79Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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11.36Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.39University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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12.99Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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10.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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13.38Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Nickerson | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 34.8% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.9% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.