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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.62+8.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+5.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.37vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.41+6.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.18vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.41+4.45vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.11+5.13vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.43+2.03vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.30vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-2.10vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.18vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-3.64vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.77+0.69vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.24-2.92vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.20-3.69vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.04vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.38-6.69vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.93-5.31vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-3.16vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.21-8.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.36College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.0%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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13.69Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.08University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.31Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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12.69Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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15.84University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.41Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 12.9% |
| Fernando Monllor | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| David Larson | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 35.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.