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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+6.25vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+7.38vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+9.67vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.20+7.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.43+5.16vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+5.32vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+4.35vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-0.11vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38+1.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.15+1.58vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.77+2.37vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.110.00vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.42vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.92-6.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.05vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-8.81vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.11-1.16vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-7.65vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.41-8.78vs Predicted
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20College of Charleston3.62-10.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.25Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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12.67Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.31Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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10.16Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.35SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.3Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.58University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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13.37Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.0Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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15.84University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.41College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.5% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 13.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 35.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.