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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+8.14vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.41+8.26vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.93+9.67vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+5.38vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.14vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.11+5.83vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08+0.54vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25+2.81vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21+2.17vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.77+3.34vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.62-1.61vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-3.68vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-2.15vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.15-2.54vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-7.00vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-5.80vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.12vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.11-2.03vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.41-8.79vs Predicted
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20Old Dominion University3.20-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.67Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.83Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.54Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.81SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.17Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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13.34Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.39College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.85Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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11.46University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.0Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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15.97University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| David Larson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 36.7% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.