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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+8.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+10.61vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+8.63vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+6.20vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+6.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.11vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+3.64vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.20+3.07vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.17vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-1.93vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-3.68vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.71vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.62-3.37vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.38-3.62vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.41-4.66vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-4.29vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-9.98vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-8.45vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.11-3.19vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.77-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.61Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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11.63University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.07Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.32Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.29SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.63College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.38Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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10.34Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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11.71Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.0%1st Place
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15.81University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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13.44Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| David Larson | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 35.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.