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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.88+7.09vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.93+10.63vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+5.10vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+6.21vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+5.39vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.62+3.42vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.41+3.67vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.23vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.96vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-2.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.71vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.77+1.57vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.08-5.37vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.11+1.83vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.24-3.83vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-4.72vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.20vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-7.61vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.20-7.79vs Predicted
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20Fordham University3.11-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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12.63Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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8.1Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.21Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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10.39Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
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9.42College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.67Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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9.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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10.96SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.57Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.63Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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15.83University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.17University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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11.28Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.93Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% |
| William Bailey | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Dan Nickerson | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Soren Walljasper | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 35.2% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| David Larson | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.