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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.82+4.41vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+1.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.97+2.09vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.18+3.65vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.26+2.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.84+2.86vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-0.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.64-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.97+2.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.90-1.55vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.94vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.41-5.13vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.10+0.95vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.83-5.11vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-2.65vs Predicted
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16Bates College0.78-3.78vs Predicted
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17McGill University-0.38-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.51Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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5.09Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.65Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University2.260.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston University1.840.0%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.98Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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12.94Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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6.87Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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13.95University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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12.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
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12.22Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
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15.02McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Adams | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 22.9% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Campbell Duffy | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Slate | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Fiske | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Young | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 4.1% |
| Sam Millham | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Murphy | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 11.7% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 22.2% | 23.5% |
| Alden Winder | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Santiago Enrique | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 7.9% |
| Rachel Pedersen | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.