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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.62+8.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+8.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.41+7.42vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.08+3.21vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.89vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.93+6.76vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.77+6.66vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.88-0.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-1.90vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43+0.19vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-0.60vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.74vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.86vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.20-3.71vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.11-4.28vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.11-1.18vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.21-6.67vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.24-7.91vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-10.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.32College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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10.44Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.42Tufts University3.410.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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12.76Stanford University2.930.0%1st Place
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13.66Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University3.430.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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11.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.47SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.29Old Dominion University3.200.0%1st Place
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11.72Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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15.82University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.33Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Johnstone | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Dan Nickerson | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 14.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
| David Larson | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Daniel LOCHNER | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 33.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.