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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+1.29vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03-0.17vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.61-0.52vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.72+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.83-1.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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2.83Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.48Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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6.12Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 31.3% | 27.1% | 18.2% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 16.8% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 23.5% | 23.4% | 21.2% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 15.5% | 15.8% | 18.9% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 8.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 23.9% | 37.9% | 14.2% |
| Peter Girard | 7.2% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 18.0% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 10.8% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 13.9% | 27.2% | 31.2% | 9.7% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.