← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.03+1.80vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.27+0.53vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.72+3.06vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.61-0.52vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.72-1.70vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.83-1.41vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.48vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.8Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
-
2.53Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
-
6.06Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.48Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
-
3.3University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
-
4.59University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
7.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
-
5.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 24.8% | 23.4% | 20.5% | 16.4% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 30.3% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 20.0% | 40.8% | 13.4% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.7% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 16.9% | 18.2% | 21.4% | 17.4% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Peter Girard | 6.8% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 22.4% | 22.5% | 11.4% | 1.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 13.4% | 75.2% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 16.9% | 28.6% | 27.8% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.