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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+1.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+0.83vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.61+0.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-1.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.26vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.72-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.83Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.45Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 32.4% | 25.2% | 19.2% | 12.9% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 23.0% | 24.2% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 15.0% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 16.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 22.4% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 16.6% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 19.5% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 27.9% | 28.4% | 9.6% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 21.9% | 37.9% | 15.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 16.3% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.