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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.27+1.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.61+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+0.25vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03-1.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83-0.41vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.72+0.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.22vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.47Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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2.82Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.12Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Allman | 31.4% | 24.4% | 20.7% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.4% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 15.1% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 17.5% | 19.1% | 20.5% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 24.9% | 22.8% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 10.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 10.6% | 1.3% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 14.3% | 19.6% | 38.3% | 15.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 28.6% | 29.7% | 10.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 5.6% | 15.0% | 73.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.