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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+2.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+0.55vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.72+3.03vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72-0.70vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+0.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03-3.18vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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2.55Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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6.03Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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2.82Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.66University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 17.3% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 21.8% | 14.5% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 29.2% | 26.2% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 37.9% | 13.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 17.2% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 28.7% | 30.7% | 8.5% |
| James Barry | 23.6% | 22.9% | 22.3% | 16.1% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Girard | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 24.3% | 21.9% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 13.0% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.