← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.61+2.38vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.27+0.53vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island2.72+0.29vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.03-1.12vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University0.72+1.11vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.83-1.45vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.21vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.38Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
-
2.53Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
-
3.29University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
-
2.88Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
-
6.11Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
-
4.55University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
5.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
-
7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 16.1% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 16.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 29.5% | 25.7% | 21.5% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 18.4% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 23.3% | 22.6% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 22.7% | 37.0% | 14.6% |
| Peter Girard | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 10.8% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 27.8% | 31.2% | 9.6% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 13.9% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.