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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+2.41vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+2.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27-0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72-0.71vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.72+1.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03-3.18vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.52Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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6.14Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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2.82Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 16.0% | 17.4% | 18.7% | 20.1% | 16.9% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 23.4% | 21.9% | 12.8% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 30.3% | 24.3% | 21.6% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 17.5% | 19.1% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 22.5% | 39.3% | 14.1% |
| James Barry | 23.2% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 75.2% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 28.4% | 29.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.