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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+2.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+0.62vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.72+1.11vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03-3.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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2.54Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.27University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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4.62University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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2.81Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 16.2% | 17.9% | 18.7% | 20.2% | 15.7% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 28.8% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 18.2% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 22.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 11.6% | 23.4% | 37.4% | 14.3% |
| James Barry | 24.2% | 22.8% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 26.7% | 31.7% | 9.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.