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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+1.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.61+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+1.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27-1.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.47vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.72-0.84vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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3.47Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.54Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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3.31University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.16Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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5.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 25.5% | 23.5% | 21.8% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.8% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Peter Girard | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 24.1% | 10.9% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 30.4% | 25.0% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 15.7% | 19.4% | 19.8% | 19.0% | 17.7% | 6.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.9% | 15.2% | 72.6% |
| Pierce Conlin | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 19.2% | 39.5% | 16.5% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 15.3% | 29.4% | 28.7% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.