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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.18+6.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+3.45vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.57+0.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.26+3.42vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy0.52+7.73vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.97-0.79vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.64-0.97vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.41-1.27vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.90-0.28vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.41-3.28vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.84-2.12vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.78+0.15vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.97-1.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.83-5.15vs Predicted
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15McGill University-0.38-0.07vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.10-1.92vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.69-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.36Roger Williams University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.45Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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3.57Yale University3.570.2%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.260.1%1st Place
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12.73Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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5.21Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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6.03Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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6.73Northeastern University2.410.1%1st Place
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8.72Harvard University1.900.0%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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8.88Boston University1.840.0%1st Place
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12.15Bates College0.780.0%1st Place
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11.66University of Rhode Island0.970.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont1.830.0%1st Place
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14.93McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
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14.08University of New Hampshire0.100.0%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell Duffy | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sky Adams | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 21.7% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Slate | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Murphy | 1.3% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Marchetto | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Millham | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Ballow | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Rachel Pedersen | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 6.9% |
| Douglas Young | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Alden Winder | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 18.1% | 44.0% |
| Whit Durant | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 22.4% |
| Santiago Enrique | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.