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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+3.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+0.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72-0.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61-1.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.23vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.72-0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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2.54Brown University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.85Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island2.720.2%1st Place
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3.45Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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6.11Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
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7.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 21.8% | 22.2% | 10.5% | 1.6% |
| Nathan Allman | 31.3% | 23.0% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 23.4% | 23.5% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 10.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 17.4% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.6% | 18.2% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 29.3% | 29.2% | 9.5% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 21.4% | 38.0% | 15.2% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 15.7% | 72.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.