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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+2.36vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+0.40vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03-0.21vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.56-0.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+0.77vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-2.33vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.72-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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2.4University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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2.79Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.49Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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6.05Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 15.7% | 18.1% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 32.8% | 26.5% | 19.2% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 24.5% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Harding | 15.5% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 31.1% | 10.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 14.2% | 72.9% |
| James Scanlon | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 22.9% | 23.1% | 11.8% | 2.2% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.6% | 23.7% | 36.1% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.