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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.03+1.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.61+1.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37-1.60vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00+0.78vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.80-2.33vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.72-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Brown University3.030.3%1st Place
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3.43Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.46Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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2.4University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.45University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.67University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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6.05Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Barry | 25.5% | 24.0% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.8% | 17.2% | 20.4% | 20.7% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Timothy Harding | 15.0% | 16.1% | 19.6% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 32.7% | 26.9% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 25.0% | 31.4% | 10.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 14.3% | 72.9% |
| James Scanlon | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 24.3% | 22.3% | 12.2% | 2.2% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 24.1% | 36.1% | 13.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.