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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+1.31vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.80+1.63vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.56-0.49vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.61-1.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.26vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.72-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.31University of Rhode Island3.370.4%1st Place
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2.81Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.63University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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3.51Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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3.45Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.08Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 35.9% | 26.6% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 23.1% | 24.9% | 19.1% | 18.5% | 10.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| James Scanlon | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 23.0% | 12.1% | 2.2% |
| Timothy Harding | 14.1% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 17.8% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Pope | 14.7% | 15.8% | 21.8% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 24.2% | 32.0% | 8.8% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.9% | 12.4% | 75.3% |
| Pierce Conlin | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 25.0% | 36.7% | 13.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.