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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.56+2.41vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.61+1.46vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37-0.65vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80-0.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.46vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.72-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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3.46Roger Williams University2.610.1%1st Place
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2.35University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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2.81Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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4.67University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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5.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.06Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Harding | 15.2% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Pope | 15.0% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 34.0% | 26.2% | 20.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Barry | 24.0% | 23.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| James Scanlon | 5.9% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 23.5% | 22.7% | 11.9% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 32.8% | 9.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 74.9% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.7% | 25.2% | 35.7% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.