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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+2.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+0.82vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.56+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.80-0.35vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+0.46vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.72-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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2.82Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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3.5Brown University2.560.2%1st Place
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2.38University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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4.65University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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7.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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6.06Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 15.6% | 20.1% | 18.7% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| James Barry | 23.3% | 23.4% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 15.7% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 33.3% | 25.5% | 21.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Scanlon | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 23.5% | 22.4% | 11.4% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 8.4% | 14.7% | 24.7% | 32.5% | 9.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 13.3% | 74.6% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 25.3% | 35.8% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.