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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.61+2.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.03+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37-0.63vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+0.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.56-1.49vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.46vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.00-1.22vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.72-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Roger Williams University2.610.2%1st Place
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2.82Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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2.37University of Rhode Island3.370.3%1st Place
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4.64University of Rhode Island1.800.1%1st Place
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3.51Brown University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.46University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.000.0%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Pope | 16.5% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 20.5% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| James Barry | 23.0% | 23.8% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 34.1% | 26.1% | 18.7% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Scanlon | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 23.4% | 24.1% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Timothy Harding | 13.2% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 9.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 6.3% | 15.0% | 72.5% |
| Ryan Novak-Smith | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 23.9% | 31.9% | 11.1% |
| Pierce Conlin | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 22.9% | 37.0% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.