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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+4.22vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+1.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+2.64vs Predicted
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4University of Connecticut1.93+3.00vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.52+0.51vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60-2.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.57-2.63vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-3.93vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.57-2.23vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.16-1.49vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.36-2.90vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.34-4.72vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.17-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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3.0Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.51Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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3.27Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.51University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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10.1Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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10.28McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.27Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stark | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 27.5% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 22.1% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.2% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 31.1% | 12.5% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 20.8% | 8.9% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 24.3% | 26.2% | 10.1% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 16.1% | 67.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.