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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+5.82vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.51+3.51vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+0.03vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.52+1.51vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+0.07vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.57-0.44vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.57-3.67vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-4.99vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-7.74vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.16-1.88vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.34-4.18vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-1.39-2.91vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.17-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.51Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.03Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.51Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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7.56Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.26Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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10.12University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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9.82McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University-1.390.0%1st Place
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11.87Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Booth | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 25.3% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.5% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 23.3% | 20.5% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 8.3% | 19.5% | 34.6% | 16.8% | 6.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 25.5% | 26.6% | 14.3% | 3.7% |
| Kelsey Bell | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 30.3% | 50.2% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 11.8% | 36.2% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.