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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+6.88vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.06+6.35vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+6.59vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.62+5.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University4.07+3.05vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.66+3.87vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66+2.90vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.70+1.64vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.92-0.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.30-2.60vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.36-4.00vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.77-2.20vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-3.84vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.62-4.27vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.50-4.43vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.64-5.92vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.07-4.50vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.90-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.87Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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8.7Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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7.4Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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7.0Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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10.57Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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10.08College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.5Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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12.86Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Sam Williams | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Megan Magill | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Michael Marshall | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Kopp | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Michael Campbell | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% |
| Philip Crain | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Emily Maxwell | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| Mac Mace | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% |
| George Saunders | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 19.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.