← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.73+2.00vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.60+1.23vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.57+4.64vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.51+1.54vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+0.09vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.72-2.03vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.57-2.68vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.52-3.59vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut1.93-3.12vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.16-2.86vs Predicted
-
14McGill University0.34-4.19vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University-1.39-2.92vs Predicted
-
16Bentley University-1.17-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.0Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
-
3.23Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
-
7.64Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
-
5.54Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
-
4.97University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
5.32Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
-
5.41Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
-
6.88University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.14University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
-
9.81McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
-
12.08Salve Regina University-1.390.0%1st Place
-
11.88Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 25.7% | 23.5% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 24.5% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 16.5% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 7.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 19.3% | 35.9% | 16.7% | 5.9% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 25.2% | 26.0% | 14.5% | 3.7% |
| Kelsey Bell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.7% | 10.2% | 30.3% | 50.3% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 36.1% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.