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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+2.01vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.52+3.56vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+2.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+1.27vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut1.93+1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.72-1.94vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-4.70vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.51-3.46vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.57-4.23vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.34-2.80vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.16-3.51vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-4.72vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.17-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.56Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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5.48Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.3Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.2McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.49University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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10.28Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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12.27Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 25.4% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 22.8% | 21.5% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 8.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 23.3% | 25.6% | 9.4% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 23.4% | 27.1% | 11.9% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 24.6% | 25.5% | 9.8% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 15.8% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.