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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Connecticut1.93+5.95vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+1.00vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+2.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.51+1.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.57+0.39vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.52-0.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60-3.74vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-2.94vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.57-2.27vs Predicted
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11McGill University0.34-0.82vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire0.16-1.53vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.36-4.76vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-1.17-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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3.0Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.56Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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3.26Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.73Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.18McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.47University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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12.27Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Fuller | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 27.6% | 20.5% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rolfe Glover | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 23.1% | 21.8% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 18.3% | 16.6% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 17.7% | 22.9% | 25.5% | 9.3% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 22.9% | 27.1% | 11.9% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 24.3% | 25.2% | 9.8% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.