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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+2.02vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+1.24vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.57+2.41vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51-0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.93-1.22vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.52-3.57vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.57-2.52vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.16-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-6.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66-7.86vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.34-4.21vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.17-3.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-1.39-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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3.24Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.41Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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5.43Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.09University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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9.79McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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11.88Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 25.5% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 22.8% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 21.5% | 15.0% | 9.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 20.9% | 32.3% | 18.9% | 4.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 11.7% | 23.9% | 27.8% | 13.8% | 3.9% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 32.9% | 41.9% |
| Kelsey Bell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 9.4% | 31.9% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.