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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+2.26vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+0.99vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.51+2.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.57+1.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+0.09vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.57+0.52vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-3.08vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.52-4.56vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut1.93-4.10vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.34-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.16-3.90vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-1.17-3.12vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-1.39-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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2.99Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.39Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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5.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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7.52Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Connecticut1.930.0%1st Place
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9.85McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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10.1University of New Hampshire0.160.0%1st Place
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11.88Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.09Salve Regina University-1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 23.3% | 19.9% | 17.3% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 26.3% | 23.1% | 16.8% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rolfe Glover | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 20.5% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 10.4% | 23.5% | 30.8% | 13.6% | 4.4% |
| Brendan Sleight | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 22.8% | 31.0% | 16.6% | 5.3% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 6.2% | 11.6% | 36.3% | 40.2% |
| Kelsey Bell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 31.2% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.