Race 10A

george-warren-smith

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Charles Sinks 26.2% 22.1% 16.6% 13.4% 10.5% 5.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Rolfe Glover 8.1% 8.1% 10.5% 9.9% 14.2% 11.4% 12.3% 10.9% 8.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Nick Sertl 21.6% 21.0% 16.4% 14.9% 11.3% 7.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Cushing 9.5% 9.0% 11.8% 13.8% 10.7% 12.8% 10.5% 11.9% 5.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Sarah Fuller 5.1% 4.7% 5.5% 8.1% 7.4% 9.8% 12.7% 13.0% 15.1% 11.8% 5.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Nicholas Arabia 7.9% 8.3% 11.4% 8.8% 13.7% 12.3% 10.6% 10.3% 9.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Scott Booth 8.2% 9.1% 10.9% 9.6% 10.2% 12.7% 12.3% 11.1% 9.5% 4.3% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ethan Stark 8.7% 10.6% 9.8% 10.8% 12.2% 14.4% 12.4% 10.4% 6.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Myles Everett 2.7% 4.0% 3.5% 6.2% 3.9% 6.5% 10.1% 13.7% 19.0% 16.1% 10.4% 3.1% 0.8%
Anthony Lowther 0.5% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 2.4% 4.5% 7.2% 16.6% 23.9% 25.2% 9.7%
Stephanie Clancy 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 2.0% 2.2% 5.2% 5.0% 9.4% 17.1% 25.1% 21.3% 8.7%
Brendan Sleight 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.6% 3.2% 4.0% 6.4% 13.7% 22.0% 30.9% 13.4%
Christine Reighley 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 3.8% 6.9% 16.5% 67.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.