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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.57+4.41vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+1.10vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.66+0.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.51-0.53vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.52-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut1.93-1.22vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-6.04vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.57-2.40vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.36-2.18vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.34-3.20vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-1.74-3.67vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-1.17-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Tufts University2.570.1%1st Place
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3.25Harvard University3.600.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.660.1%1st Place
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5.47Roger Williams University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University2.520.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Connecticut1.930.1%1st Place
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2.96Boston College3.730.3%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.82Salve Regina University0.360.0%1st Place
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9.8McGill University0.340.0%1st Place
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12.33University of New Hampshire-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.81Bentley University-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolfe Glover | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 23.2% | 20.5% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stark | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Booth | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Arabia | 7.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Fuller | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 5.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 26.7% | 20.7% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Myles Everett | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 20.8% | 16.8% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Clancy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 22.5% | 34.1% | 12.9% | 3.4% |
| Anthony Lowther | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 24.5% | 30.0% | 13.2% | 3.1% |
| Emily Chase | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 25.8% | 61.7% |
| Christine Reighley | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 11.9% | 45.5% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.